Updated Analysis Shows Climate Models Continue To Predict Too Much Warming

By James TaylorJay Lehr  

Global temperatures are likely only rising at a pace of 0.13 degrees Celsius per decade, which is even closer to skeptic predictions.

[This blog post is being reprinted with permission of the authors.  It originally appeared in the Heartland Weekly on 2 January 2020.  Ed.]

polar ice caps

A newly published paper, titled “Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections,” mistakenly claims climate models have been remarkably accurate predicting future temperatures. The paper is receiving substantial media attention, but we urge caution before blindly accepting the paper’s assertions.

As an initial matter, the authors of the paper are climate modelers. Climate modelers have a vested self-interest in convincing people that climate Continue reading “Updated Analysis Shows Climate Models Continue To Predict Too Much Warming”

A conversation with Susan J. Crockford—for Association des climato-réalistes

Contributed by Grégoire Canlorbe @2019  

“So, the long and short of it is that the prediction that the bear numbers would decline by two thirds failed. Not only did the bears not decline, but the global population number rose by at least 16 percent, perhaps more.”

[This interview was originally published by Friends of Science on December 15, 2019.  It is presented here with the permission of the interviewer, Mr. Grègoire Canlorbe]

Susan J. Crockford: I live in Victoria, British Columbia, and I specialize in animals from the late Pleistocene, so probably the last fifteen to twenty thousand years.  I have a contract company called Pacific Identifications Inc. We identify animal bones from archaeological projects and also from biological research: stomach contents, fecal samples, that kind of thing. That’s primarily how I get my income. And then, I am also a former adjunct professor at the University of Victoria—I had held that position since 2004 but in 2019, it was not renewed.

My primary interest—my overall interest—is evolution.  That, for me, really informs everything.  It’s the big picture.  Evolution is the big idea that drives all my interest.  For example, the interesting thing is that a deer bone from 8000 years ago looks like one living today, and so, there is continuity.

Image from Pixabay

But there are also distinctions—when you get species differences, those are apparent.  I became interested in polar bears when I was working on the topic leading up to my PhD dissertation. I was looking at the speciation process that turns a wolf into a dog (what we also call domestication). While trying to unravel what biological process drives that transformation, the wild species that I looked at to compare it to was the brown bear to polar bear transformation. So, I’ve been looking at the Continue reading “A conversation with Susan J. Crockford—for Association des climato-réalistes”

Global Warming? An Israeli Astrophysicist Provides Alternative View That Is Not Easy To Reject

By
Doron Levin

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“Global warming is not a purely scientific issue any more,” he said.  “It has repercussions for society.  It has also taken on a moralistic, almost religious quality.  If you believe what everyone believes, you are a good person. If you don’t, you are a bad person.  Who wants to be a sinner?”
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[This interview article about ‘skeptic’ climate scientist Nir Shaviv was published and then quickly pulled from Forbes.com.  We discovered the article after it was reprinted by Jim Lakely, Communications Director  of the Heartland Institute.  We are reprinting it here under the fair use doctrine.  Ed.]

The U.S. auto industry and regulators in California and Washington appear

https://www.heartland.org/sebin/j/j/nir_shaviv-heartland.png
Astrophysicist, Nir Shaviv

deadlocked over stiff Obama-era fuel-efficiency standards that automakers oppose and the Trump administration have vowed to roll back – an initiative that has environmental activists up in arms.

California and four automakers favor compromise, while the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) supports the president’s position that the federal standards are too strict. The EPA argues that forcing automakers to build more fuel efficient cars will make them less Continue reading “Global Warming? An Israeli Astrophysicist Provides Alternative View That Is Not Easy To Reject”

A conversation with John Christy, for Association des climato-réalistes

by Grégoire Canlorbe

John Raymond Christy is a climate scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) whose chief interests are satellite remote sensing of global climate and global climate change.  In February 2019 he was named as a member of the EPA Science Advisory Board.

[This interview is being reprinted with the permission of the author.  It was originally published on 28 June 2019 by Friends of Science, Calgary and can be found in the link provided in the  paragraph that follows.  Ed.]

Satellite in orbit around earth. Image from Pixabay.com

In May 2019 he was interviewed by Grégoire Canlorbe for Association des climato-réalistes, the only climate-realist association in France.  The conversation was first published in the French journal Valeurs Actuelles (in a French edited version), and on Friends of Science (in the original English version).

Grégoire Canlorbe: You have been at pains to show that climate models are over-predicting warming by roughly a factor of two. Could you come back to this alleged falsification?

John Christy: We should be applying the scientific method to claims scientists (and others) are making about the climate. In this case I downloaded the output from 102 climate model simulations used by the IPCC and compared the tropospheric temperature since 1979 between the models and several observational datasets, including the satellite dataset we generate. The models on average were warming the atmosphere at a rate Continue reading “A conversation with John Christy, for Association des climato-réalistes”

Adjusted “Unadjusted” Data: NASA Uses The “Magic Wand Of Fudging”, Produces Warming Where There Never Was

By P Gosselin on 25 June 2019      

By Kirye 
and Pierre Gosselin      

It’s been long known that NASA1 GISS2 has been going through its historical temperature data archives and erasing old temperature measurements and replacing them with new, made up figures without any real legitimate reason.

Why pick cherries when you can manufacture them to your own specifications? Photo by Pixabay.

This practice has led to the formation of new datasets called “adjusted” data, with the old datasets being called “V3 unadjusted”. The problem for global warming activists, however, was that when anyone looks at the old “V3 unadjusted” – i.e. untampered data – they often found a downward linear temperature trend. Such negative trends of course are an embarrassment for global warming alarmists, who have been claiming the planet is warming up rapidly.

The adjusted “unadjusted” data

So what to do? Well, it seems that NASA has decided to adjust its “V3 Continue reading “Adjusted “Unadjusted” Data: NASA Uses The “Magic Wand Of Fudging”, Produces Warming Where There Never Was”