[additional comments] Many scientists disagree that fossil fuels are a principal cause of global warming and believe, instead, that fossil fuels are a very minor contributor to global warming. Most scientists believe that the principal contributors to global warming are from natural effects.
Richard S. Lindzen
Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Sciences, MIT
[This essay is a slightly extended version of a lecture delivered to a joint zoom meeting of the Irish Climate Science Forum and CLINTEL on March 31, 2021.]
For about 33 years, many of us have been battling against climate hysteria. We have correctly noted
The exaggerated sensitivity,
The role of other processes and natural internal variability,
The inconsistency with the paleoclimate record,
The absence of evidence for increased extremes, droughts, floods, wild-fires, and so on.
We have also pointed out the very real benefits of CO2 and even of modest warming. And, as concerns government policies, we have been pretty ineffective. Indeed our efforts have done little other than to show (incorrectly) that we take the threat scenario seriously. In this talk, I want to make a tentative analysis of our failure.
[This post first appeared on Dr. Spencer’s web site (here) on 9 April 2022. We have reproduced it on our web site for the purpose of education and discussion under the fair use doctrine. Ed.]
The proper way of looking for causal relationships between time series data (e.g. between atmospheric CO2 and temperature) is discussed. While statistical analysis alone is unlikely to provide “proof” of causation, use of the ‘master equation’ is shown to avoid common pitfalls. Correlation analysis of natural and anthropogenic forcings with year-on-year changes in Mauna Loa CO2 suggest a role for increasing global temperature at least partially explaining observed changes in CO2, but purely statistical analysis cannot tie down the magnitude. One statistically-based model using anthropogenic and natural forcings suggests ~15% of the rise in CO2 being due to natural factors with an excellent match between model and observations for COVID-19 related downturn in global economic activity in 2020.
[So, it appears as if the Facebook part of Big Tech is dredging newspapers’ opinion pages, looking for people who criticize the polemic of human-caused CO2-fueled global warming catastrophe.]
This post contains a series of four documents, starting with a 3 May 2019 Letter to the Editor of the Las Cruces Sun-News by CASF member, Fran Lavery, and ends with Facebook censoring my views.
Intermediate steps include a 12 May 2019 Letter to the Editor of the Sun News from Climate Activist Peter Kuntz of Northglenn, Colorado, and my Comment, taking Kuntz to task, and now, recently discovered (June 2021) Facebook actions to prevent my Comment from achieving widespread notice.
Today’s post shows Facebook is censoring views it does not like.
The notion that the USA can cut in half its CO2 emissions from the peak emissions that occurred here in 2005 is fantasy.
President Joe Biden held a virtual climate summit on the fifty-first anniversary of the first Earth Day, originally held 22 April 1970. When confronted with facts, measurements, observations, and data concerning climate history, Biden’s climate plan is based on trying to prevent temperature increases which have occurred naturally many times in the recent past. This post will explore some of the most ill-informed and ignorant statements, plans, and actions, which all together will have no measurable impact on the climate, and will only cause economic harm to us, Earth’s human residents.
Via executive orders, regulatory edicts and partisan Green New Deal legislation, President Biden intends to slash US carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions by 50 percent below their 2005 peak by 2030, and eliminate them (and fossil fuel use) by 2050. But, as AOC’s former chief of staff noted, the GND is not just about transforming America’s energy
system; it’s about changing the entire economy.
[This article was original posted on Townhall.com on May 02, 2021 12:01 AM. It is reproduced here with the permission of the author. Ed.]
This radical transformation is driven by three fundamental articles of faith, none of them based on reality.