Cruces Atmospheric Sciences Forum – In science, the debate is never over!
Tag: climate debate
Climate alarmists/activists are frequently heard or read saying that the debate is over, the science is settled. This is one of the most blatant mischaracterizations of science ever. In science, the debate is never over and the science is never settled. To make such a claim is anti-science and should never be heard coming from the mouth of a true scientist. The key to true science is scientific debate. Scientists should always debate the science but never debate the politics. Politics will always get in the way of true science. Unfortunately, that is exactly what has happened in the global warming debate. This debate, which has not been settled, has devolved into an almost completely political debate. Climate alarmists rarely if ever will agree to debate climate skeptics. The reason is not likely due to their belief that the debate is over, but more likely due to their fear of losing the debate and, thereby, damaging their message, which has been picked up by the mainstream media and almost anyone of a progressive or liberal bent..
Richard Siegmund Lindzen is an American atmospheric physicist known for his work in the dynamics of the atmosphere, atmospheric tides, and ozone photochemistry. He has published more than 200 scientific papers and books. From 1983 until his retirement in 2013, he was Alfred P. Sloan
Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He was a lead author of Chapter 7, “Physical Climate Processes and Feedbacks,” of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Third Assessment Report on climate change. He has criticized the scientific consensus about climate change and what he has called “climate alarmism.”
[Dr Gutzler conducted the 1 March 2018 “Lush and Lean” water conservation workshop in Las Cruces in the Roadrunner Room of the Branigan Library from 5:30 PM – 7:30 PM: About an hour-long lecture of 21 Slides, followed by questions and answers. The nominal topic was, “Learn about projecting future water supplies in a rapidly changing climate.” I prepared this memo the next day, 2 March 2018 and have edited it a bit in the time since. I provide it in this post as a small part of the overall climate debate.]
Overall Gutzler did only a fair job explaining the development of the present La Nina and the present and impending drought conditions; I rate it as ‘only fair’ because he did not mention either the 2016 El Nino or features of El Nino-Southern Oscillation, he mentioned the Pacific Decadal Oscillation but did not explain it, or it’s 60-year periodicity.
Dr. Gutzler devoted perhaps only 5 minutes to the “increasing greenhouse gasses are causing anthropogenic climate change,” but this point was the last one in the three points he emphasized in his concluding slide.
A significant weather system which affects the globe was not even discovered until the 1970s, perhaps because it is stronger in the Southern Hemisphere than the Northern. This system, the Madden-Julian Oscillation, is an area of enhanced rainfall with these characteristics:
The enhanced precipitation anomaly starts in the Indian Ocean; it always moves eastward, and usually moves from Indian Ocean into mid-Pacific at speeds of 9-19 Miles/Hour. In addition to the enhanced precipitation area itself, there is an associated area of suppressed precipitation, an out-of-phase area ahead of it, usually way out ahead of it. The disturbed weather areas usually last 30 to sometimes 90 days.
[Dr. Spencer’s post originally appeared on his blog on February 22nd, 2018. The link to his 2/23/18 update of the post is here.]
UPDATE(2/23/18):The previous version of this post had improper latitude bounds for the HadCRUT4 Tsfc data. I’ve rerun the results… the conclusions remain the same. I have also added proof that ENSO is accompanied by its own radiative forcing, a controversial claim, which allows it to cause multi-decadal climate change. In simple terms, this is clear evidence the climate system can cause its own, natural, internally-generated climate changes. This is partly what has caused recent warming, and the climate modelling community has assumed it was all human-caused.Continue reading “A 1D Model Of Global Temperature Changes, 1880-2017”
[This article by John O’Sullivan regarding Michael ‘Hockey Stick’ Mann’s libel lawsuit against Dr. Tim Ball originally appeared at Principia-Scientific followed by Technocracy.News and is reproduced for your information and entertainment. Who can forget “Mike’s nature trick” to hide the decline. For those of us who are skeptical about catastrophic, anthropogenic, climate change, this is really big, and it was a wonderful 4th of July gift.]
Published on July 4, 2017
Written by John O’Sullivan
Penn State climate scientist, Michael ‘hockey stick’ Mann commits contempt of court in the ‘climate science trial of the century.’ Prominent alarmist shockingly defies judge and refuses to surrender data for open court examination. Only possible outcome: Mann’s humiliation, defeat and likely criminal investigation in the U.S. Continue reading “Breaking: Fatal Courtroom Act Ruins Michael ‘hockey stick’ Mann”