El Nino and La Nina: The Controls on Rainfall and Drought in the Western USA

Robert W. Endlich

“It is not necessary to believe false CO2 theory and stories to understand the wild weather in the wild West . . .”

Image courtesy of Pixabay

Have you ever wondered why weather-related news stories from the western USA seem to go from hot, dry weather, droughts, extensive wildfires, and forest fires to the other extreme: heavy rainfall seemingly for days on end, often with cliffside houses washing from their perches into the Pacific Ocean? On-line stories are often accompanied with illustrative video. There is a seemingly never-ending string of weather-related stories carrying western datelines, seemingly varying from dry to drenching, from one extreme to another.

Sometimes climate alarmists claim this is an artifact of our use of fossil fuels, and we are causing these wild excursions because of the increasing amounts of the trace gas CO2 in the atmosphere.

The Questions

“Are we causing these excursions?”

“What is going on here?”

Answers. Starting with some History

Clues come from the history of the Spanish-speaking fishermen who plied Continue reading “El Nino and La Nina: The Controls on Rainfall and Drought in the Western USA”

An analysis of the 17 April 2018 NMSU Climate “Education” presentation by Dr David Dubois

Robert W. Endlich

… a patchwork of stories where propaganda and misinformation are presented as fact.

IS EMOTION THE BASIS OF EDUCATION?

For the lead presentation of a series which was purported to bring “Climate Education” to interested members of the Las Cruces, NM and New Mexico State University communities, Dave DuBois starts off with an emotional appeal to the audience, not a fact-based introduction. The link to his presentation is at https://sustainability.nmsu.edu/nmsuccess/ scroll to the bottom.

His subsequent sequence is filled with a patchwork of stories where propaganda and misinformation are presented as fact. Sometimes Dr. DuBois mentions tools of the trade in understanding climate history, including ice core proxies, sedimentation records, and natural climate cycles, including El Nino-Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Continue reading “An analysis of the 17 April 2018 NMSU Climate “Education” presentation by Dr David Dubois”

Climate Data Is Being Misused and Manipulated, Says Award-Winning Scientist

By Patrick MichaelsH. Sterling Burnett 

Climate scientist Patrick Michaels says there has been a profound suspension of the normal rules of science in the climate arena.

For Michaels’ presentation at ICCC 13 click here.

Burnett: You coauthored a book titled Lukewarming: The New Climate Science that Changes Everything. What is the thesis of the book?

copyright 2016 by Cato Institute

Michaels: Global warming is often presented as one of two alternative visions: left unattended, it will bring about an unmitigated disaster with tremendous consequences to humanity and the planet; or there is really “no such thing”—meaning little to no warming and little to no influence of human greenhouse-gas emissions on climate.

[This interview was originally published by the Heartland Institute on December 5th, 2019.  It is being printed here with the permission of Dr. H. Sterling Burnett from the Heartland Institute.]

There is a third way. I call it the ‘lukewarm” synthesis, which holds the surface temperature indeed is a bit warmer than it was around 1900, that Continue reading “Climate Data Is Being Misused and Manipulated, Says Award-Winning Scientist”

Updated Analysis Shows Climate Models Continue To Predict Too Much Warming

By James TaylorJay Lehr  

Global temperatures are likely only rising at a pace of 0.13 degrees Celsius per decade, which is even closer to skeptic predictions.

[This blog post is being reprinted with permission of the authors.  It originally appeared in the Heartland Weekly on 2 January 2020.  Ed.]

polar ice caps

A newly published paper, titled “Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections,” mistakenly claims climate models have been remarkably accurate predicting future temperatures. The paper is receiving substantial media attention, but we urge caution before blindly accepting the paper’s assertions.

As an initial matter, the authors of the paper are climate modelers. Climate modelers have a vested self-interest in convincing people that climate Continue reading “Updated Analysis Shows Climate Models Continue To Predict Too Much Warming”

Incredibly Poor Climate Forecasts made for Las Cruces and New Mexico

By Robert W. Endlich

Las Cruces is home to New Mexico’s Land Grant school, New Mexico State University, ostensibly home of The Educated, but some of the climate pronouncements by climate alarmists here have proven to be terribly wrong.

Image from Pixabay

Las Cruces, situated in southern New Mexico, is only an hour’s drive from El Paso, Texas, and is located both in the Mountain West and in the Chihuahuan Desert.  As such, it lies in the area where cold season precipitation patterns are governed by the related weather events El Nino Southern Oscillation and its 60-year-long big cousin, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.

These readily known facts seemingly mean little to the alarmists who Continue reading “Incredibly Poor Climate Forecasts made for Las Cruces and New Mexico”